2026 season · NFL + college football
Every game, ten thousand times.
Real schedules and injury reports replayed through a weighted model of form, schedule strength, travel and rest — then ranked by where the money is moving.
The play
NYG −3 · 68% cover
NYG26–18
projected
Spread edge
5 pts
model vs market
Model cover
68%
NYG
Total lean
OVER 63%
o/u 38.5
Market line
NYG −3
DraftKings
10,000-sim cover and total probability priced against the market breakeven.
The slate
13 games · 10,000 sims each · updated 10:19 AM ET
Los Angeles Rams4-452%
Washington Commanders2-4-148%market
LAR −4.5
o/u 47.5
Denver Broncos6-245%
Carolina Panthers3-455%market
DEN −2.5
o/u 44.5
Detroit Lions5-268%
Miami Dolphins1-632%market
DET −6.5
o/u 49.5
Cleveland Browns5-331%
New Orleans Saints2-569%market
NO −3
o/u 42.5
New York Giants4-2-173%Philadelphia Eagles2-627%market
NYG −3
o/u 38.5
Dallas Cowboys3-564%
Indianapolis Colts2-636%market
DAL −4.5
o/u 51.5
New York Jets2-625%
Kansas City Chiefs5-275%market
KC −9.5
o/u 48.5
Houston Texans2-574%
Los Angeles Chargers0-726%market
HOU −5.5
o/u 40.5
Green Bay Packers5-341%
New England Patriots5-359%market
NE −3
o/u 44.5
Las Vegas Raiders4-420%
San Francisco 49ers6-180%market
SF −9.5
o/u 51.5
Arizona Cardinals3-523%
Seattle Seahawks4-477%market
SEA −8.5
o/u 39.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-539%
Chicago Bears6-261%market
CHI −6
o/u 47.5
Buffalo Bills6-149%
Minnesota Vikings6-151%market
BUF −3
o/u 43.5
Power index
What the engine weighs
Form & momentum
Win and loss streaks, last-five splits and a rebound signal after losses.
Travel & rest
Road miles, cross-country trips, short weeks and bye advantage.
Injury reports
Every listed player weighted by status and position value.
Ball security & splits
Turnover margin, third-down and red-zone efficiency, penalties, sacks and yards per play.
Category rankings
Scoring offense and defense, margin, schedule strength, home and road splits.